Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PLO
4 - 1
POL
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
POL
2 - 0
GKS
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
GOR
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WIS
4 - 0
POL
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
POL
2 - 0
GÓR
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
POG
0 - 5
WIS
25%
23%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
DYS
2 - 0
POG
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
POG
3 - 1
LPO
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
GÓR
4 - 0
POG
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
POG
1 - 2
WAR
32%
26%
43%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |