Polonia Warszawa vs Pelikan Lowicz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
POL
0 - 2
KSL
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 3
POL
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
POL
2 - 3
RWM
92%
6%
2%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
2 - 0
POL
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -3 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
POL
1 - 0
USK
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Pelikan Lowicz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PEL
2 - 0
BRA
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RWM
1 - 2
PEL
18%
20%
62%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PEL
0 - 0
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
USK
2 - 0
PEL
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEL
2 - 1
UWA
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |