Polonia Warszawa vs Pelikan Lowicz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
POD
1 - 0
POL
29%
28%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
POL
2 - 3
ZAL
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
POL
0 - 0
WAR
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
ZAL
5 - 0
POL
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GDA
2 - 1
POL
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pelikan Lowicz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PEL
0 - 1
MGJ
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
PLO
0 - 0
PEL
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
PEL
0 - 0
PGL
30%
29%
42%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
TUR
0 - 2
PEL
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PEL
0 - 0
ARK
11%
26%
63%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | +1 |