Polonia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ODR
1 - 1
POL
20%
26%
55%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LOM
1 - 3
POL
14%
24%
62%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
POL
2 - 0
MGJ
72%
17%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PLO
1 - 1
POL
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
KOR
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MOT
4 - 0
MGJ
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
PLO
3 - 1
MOT
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MOT
1 - 1
PGL
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
TUR
2 - 3
MOT
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
ARK
2 - 0
MOT
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |