Polonia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
GDA
1 - 3
POL
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MIE
1 - 3
POL
17%
23%
61%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ARK
3 - 1
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
RUC
0 - 4
POL
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
OLP
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LPO
4 - 0
RCH
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LPO
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
LPO
1 - 0
AIK
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AUG
3 - 1
LPO
8%
17%
75%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
AIK
3 - 0
LPO
45%
29%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |