Polonia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
POL
2 - 3
JAG
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
POL
0 - 0
ARK
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
POG
2 - 0
POL
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 3
POL
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CRA
3 - 0
POL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
OWD
0 - 0
LPO
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
LPO
1 - 1
POG
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
LPO
1 - 0
OWD
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
OWD
2 - 1
LPO
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
RAD
0 - 2
LPO
18%
23%
60%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |