Polonia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
WLO
3 - 2
POL
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
SLI
1 - 3
POL
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
POL
3 - 1
PLO
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
POL
2 - 0
AMI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
POL
0 - 0
GKS
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
LPO
0 - 1
GKS
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
OWD
2 - 1
LPO
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
LPO
2 - 0
KSZ
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
LKS
2 - 1
LPO
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
LPO
2 - 1
HUT
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |