Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
KMI
0 - 1
POL
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
ARK
0 - 1
POL
34%
30%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
POL
1 - 1
POG
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
OWD
0 - 0
POL
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
POL
1 - 3
CRA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
POL
1 - 1
RCH
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
RCH
5 - 1
TSP
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
POD
1 - 1
RCH
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
RCH
5 - 0
PGL
51%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
JAG
0 - 2
RCH
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |