Polonia Warszawa vs Górnik Łęczna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
OWD
1 - 0
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
GKS
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
WLO
1 - 1
POL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
POL
3 - 1
DYS
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
WAR
7 - 2
POL
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Górnik Łęczna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 0
GOR
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
GOR
0 - 1
OWD
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
GKS
1 - 1
GOR
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 1
WLO
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
DYS
4 - 0
GOR
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |