Polonia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2008 |
TUR
2 - 0
POL
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
POL
1 - 2
ARK
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
STA
3 - 0
POL
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
POL
1 - 0
SLA
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ZNI
3 - 2
POL
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2008 |
PGL
1 - 2
MGJ
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
PLO
0 - 0
PGL
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
PGL
2 - 1
LOM
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
PGL
5 - 1
TUR
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ARK
2 - 0
PGL
63%
24%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |