Polonia Warszawa vs Jastrzębie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PLO
1 - 1
POL
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
KOR
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
PGL
1 - 0
POL
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
ARK
2 - 0
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
TUR
77%
15%
7%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LOM
0 - 3
MGJ
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
PLO
2 - 3
MGJ
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
MGJ
0 - 0
PGL
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
TUR
2 - 0
MGJ
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
MGJ
2 - 0
ARK
19%
27%
54%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +2 |