Poland U19 vs Northern Ireland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SVK
1 - 0
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
0 - 4
POL
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
NED
19%
20%
61%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UKR
0 - 0
POL
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
POL
2 - 1
NIR
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 2
NIR
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
NIR
0 - 1
SVK
16%
20%
65%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
NIR
0 - 2
UKR
17%
20%
64%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
NED
1 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
POL
2 - 1
NIR
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |