Poland U21 vs Russia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
EST
0 - 6
POL
8%
15%
78%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
MNE
1 - 0
POL
7%
12%
81%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BGR
3 - 0
POL
13%
19%
68%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
POL
1 - 0
SRB
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
RUS
2 - 2
POL
48%
23%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
RUS
2 - 0
BGR
73%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
SRB
0 - 2
RUS
38%
24%
39%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
RUS
2 - 0
LVA
86%
11%
4%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
EST
0 - 5
RUS
4%
9%
87%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
RUS
2 - 2
POL
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |