U21 EC Qualifying Repescas Final
Global 3-2
Poland U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
POL
3 - 0
GEO
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
POL
63%
19%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
POL
1 - 1
FRO
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
POL
1 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
POR
4 - 2
BIH
83%
13%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LIE
0 - 9
POR
5%
13%
82%
|
81 | 5 | 76 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
0 - 2
POR
10%
18%
72%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
ROU
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
CHN
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |