Poland U21 vs Moldavia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
POL
4 - 3
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
RUS
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 3
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
DEN
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
POR
5 - 0
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 6
RUS
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 3
MDA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 2
POR
11%
20%
69%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
MDA
2 - 2
GEO
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |