Poland U21 vs North Macedonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
BGR
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ISR
1 - 2
POL
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
GER
3 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
ISR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
POL
5 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
North Macedonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MKD
0 - 2
SWE
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 0
GIB
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
AUT
0 - 0
MKD
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
MKD
0 - 1
GEO
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MDA
2 - 1
MKD
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |