Poland U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 1
POL
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
POL
0 - 4
BLR
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
BLR
1 - 1
POL
35%
24%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
HUN
1 - 2
POL
35%
23%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
AUT
0 - 2
ENG
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
ENG
3 - 2
NED
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
TUR
1 - 0
ENG
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
ENG
1 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
MKD
1 - 1
ENG
10%
18%
72%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |