UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Poland U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1981 |
POL
4 - 0
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
POL
3 - 1
BRD
77%
13%
10%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1981 |
BRD
2 - 3
POL
30%
23%
46%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
NOR
0 - 1
POL
54%
20%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1981 |
ENG
2 - 0
HUN
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1981 |
HUN
1 - 2
ENG
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
SUI
0 - 0
ENG
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1981 |
ENG
3 - 0
ROU
18%
24%
58%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 1980 |
ENG
5 - 0
SUI
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 59 | 37 | +2 |