UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Poland U21 vs Hungary U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
4 - 1
POL
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
POL
2 - 2
ESP
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1983 |
POL
2 - 0
POR
63%
19%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
POL
2 - 1
SUN
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 18 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1982 |
POL
4 - 0
FIN
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hungary U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
HUN
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1983 |
GRC
1 - 0
HUN
56%
21%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1983 |
HUN
5 - 1
DEN
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1983 |
HUN
0 - 2
ENG
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1983 |
DEN
2 - 1
HUN
57%
20%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |