Poland U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 5
POL
16%
20%
64%
|
60 | 5 | 55 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
POL
2 - 1
FIN
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 2
POL
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
LIE
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 5 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 1
NED
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
NED
2 - 0
FIN
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
NED
0 - 0
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
GER
0 - 4
NED
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |