Poland U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
POL
0 - 4
BLR
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
UKR
2 - 2
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
TUR
1 - 0
POL
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
POL
2 - 1
TUR
50%
24%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
SWE
1 - 2
POL
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
WAL
0 - 2
NOR
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
BLR
4 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
WAL
0 - 0
SUI
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
BLR
1 - 0
WAL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
WAL
1 - 2
DEN
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |