Poland U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
POL
1 - 0
KAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
RUS
1 - 0
POL
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
GEO
75%
16%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
NED
1 - 0
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
POR
2 - 0
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 0
GEO
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
GEO
0 - 1
ESP
15%
23%
62%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 2
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 2
ITA
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 0
ESP
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |