UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 1-6
Poland U21 vs Denmark U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1992 |
DEN
5 - 0
POL
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1991 |
POL
2 - 1
ENG
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
POL
2 - 0
IRL
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1991 |
IRL
1 - 2
POL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1991 |
POL
2 - 0
TUR
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1992 |
DEN
5 - 0
POL
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1991 |
AUT
1 - 1
DEN
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1991 |
DEN
1 - 1
AUT
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1991 |
YUG
2 - 6
DEN
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
DEN
7 - 0
SMR
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |