Poland U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
68.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
KOS
0 - 4
POL
12%
16%
72%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 3
POL
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
MKD
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
BGR
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ISR
1 - 2
POL
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
BGR
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
EST
1 - 10
GER
3%
8%
89%
|
81 | 33 | 48 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ISR
1 - 5
GER
8%
13%
79%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
ISR
80%
14%
7%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
GER
0 - 0
KOS
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |