Poland U-20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
59.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U-20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
GER
3 - 0
POL
49%
22%
29%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
POL
0 - 1
ENG
20%
20%
60%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
POR
23%
21%
56%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
POL
1 - 0
NED
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
CZE
3 - 3
POL
34%
23%
43%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 0
CRO
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 3
SUI
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CZE
1 - 0
ITA
27%
22%
51%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
NED
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |