Poland U-20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U-20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
54%
22%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
POL
4 - 0
SUI
50%
23%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GER
0 - 3
ITA
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
5 - 0
IRN
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |