Poland U-20 vs Germany U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U-20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 1
POL
36%
25%
40%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
POL
0 - 1
SUI
51%
23%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
ITA
54%
22%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
GER
4 - 2
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
POL
31%
24%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GER
4 - 1
SUI
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GER
3 - 2
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
26%
23%
51%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
GER
4 - 2
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
POL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |