Poland U17 vs Spain U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MNE
0 - 2
POL
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
POL
3 - 0
MLT
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 0
POL
75%
16%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
POL
0 - 0
SWE
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
POL
1 - 2
GEO
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Spain U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
6 - 0
MLT
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 25 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
MNE
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
5 - 1
NIR
82%
13%
6%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 1
BEL
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
FIN
0 - 3
ESP
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | +2 |