Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 0
PSR
12%
19%
70%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PSR
3 - 1
USK
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TKP
2 - 3
PSR
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PSR
3 - 1
KTL
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KSN
3 - 1
PSR
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Unia Swarzędz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
USW
4 - 0
VIN
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZAW
1 - 1
USW
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
USW
3 - 0
STA
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
USW
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
USW
0 - 1
NOW
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |