Polonia Środa vs Unia Janikowo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
3º
18º
3º
10
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZAW
1 - 3
PSR
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PSR
2 - 0
PSZ
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +4 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KSG
2 - 1
PSR
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PSR
4 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
USW
0 - 0
PSR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unia Janikowo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
74%
15%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
UNI
40%
25%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZAW
5 - 1
UNI
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
PSZ
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KSG
1 - 0
UNI
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |