Polonia Środa vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 2
PSR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PSR
8 - 5
VIN
54%
21%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SOK
1 - 0
PSR
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
PSR
2 - 0
USK
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SKO
6 - 0
PSR
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SWR
1 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 0
STO
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POG
2 - 1
MOT
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 3
KAL
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MGJ
2 - 1
MOT
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |