Polonia Środa vs Vineta Wolin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
3º
18º
3º
35
12º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SOK
1 - 0
PSR
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
PSR
2 - 0
USK
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SKO
6 - 0
PSR
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
KAL
3 - 2
PSR
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
PSR
0 - 3
PSZ
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Vineta Wolin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
VIN
1 - 0
CAR
46%
22%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
VIN
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VIN
1 - 3
ZAW
5%
12%
83%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VIN
1 - 3
LPO
10%
15%
74%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +8 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
PSZ
2 - 0
VIN
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |