Polonia Środa vs Wierzyca Pelplin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
PSR
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PSR
3 - 3
WDA
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GKP
1 - 0
PSR
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
JAR
2 - 1
PSR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PSR
3 - 0
EGP
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Wierzyca Pelplin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
PEL
0 - 1
BAL
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SOK
2 - 0
PEL
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
PEL
0 - 3
SKO
13%
18%
69%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
KOT
1 - 0
PEL
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
WDA
0 - 1
PEL
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |