Polonia Środa vs Notec Czarnków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VIN
1 - 2
PSR
22%
21%
57%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PSR
1 - 1
MLE
72%
17%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PSR
0 - 0
LPO
31%
23%
46%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LWA
0 - 3
PSR
37%
22%
42%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WSI
1 - 6
PSR
21%
21%
58%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Notec Czarnków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KSN
1 - 1
USW
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KSN
3 - 1
PGL
9%
15%
76%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
KSN
5 - 1
HUG
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KSN
3 - 2
SGO
35%
22%
43%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
KSN
1 - 5
ZAW
26%
22%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |