Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
14º
8º
73
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polokwane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GOL
3 - 2
POL
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POL
3 - 1
AJA
43%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
SFC
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MPU
1 - 0
POL
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
POL
4 - 0
PCF
47%
29%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 1
SUN
19%
27%
54%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 2
SUN
20%
28%
52%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SUN
4 - 0
GOL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
SWA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |