Gornik Polkowice vs Warta Poznan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornik Polkowice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
DOL
1 - 1
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
POL
1 - 1
POG
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
POL
3 - 1
WRO
77%
15%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
MCZ
1 - 1
POL
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
POL
4 - 0
GKS
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
POG
2 - 1
WAR
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TSP
0 - 1
WAR
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ARK
0 - 0
WAR
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
WAR
1 - 5
POL
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
WAR
3 - 0
GOR
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |