Virtus Matino vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Matino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PVM
3 - 2
FBC
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
PVM
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PVM
1 - 2
VIR
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ASF
2 - 2
PVM
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PVM
2 - 1
HYR
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
NOC
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FBC
0 - 1
CAS
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
NAR
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |