Pol. Ciliverghe vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PSM
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 0
BUS
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SCA
0 - 2
PSM
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 1
DAR
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 1
CIS
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 2
LEV
23%
22%
56%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
TRE
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 4
BUS
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 2
TRE
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 2
CIS
32%
25%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |