Pol. Ciliverghe vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 3
PSM
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 0
VAR
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 1
PSM
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 1
GRU
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
PSM
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SON
2 - 2
ASS
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
5 - 1
SON
86%
11%
3%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SON
0 - 1
PER
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 3
SON
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SON
0 - 1
CIS
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |