Pol. Ciliverghe vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
PSM
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 0
OLG
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 0
PSM
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 5
FCC
53%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SER
5 - 0
PSM
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
SER
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PON
0 - 2
PER
65%
21%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PER
4 - 1
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +3 |