Pol. Ciliverghe vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 0
PSM
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 0
ASS
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +4 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PSM
0 - 6
PIA
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -3 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
PSM
43%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PSM
4 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
OLG
1 - 1
CIS
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
OLG
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OLG
1 - 0
INV
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
OLG
28%
27%
45%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OLG
1 - 4
LEC
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |