Pol. Ciliverghe vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 0
PSM
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PSM
0 - 2
VBE
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
INV
0 - 1
PSM
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
PSM
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -3 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 3
AUR
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 3
ASS
15%
25%
60%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
FOL
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 2
FOL
16%
26%
58%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
SON
48%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |