Pol. Ciliverghe vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 2
FAN
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 0
PSM
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 2
REG
14%
23%
63%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 0
ASD
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AXY
3 - 3
PSM
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 3
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 0
ASD
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
USD
1 - 1
FIO
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PER
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |