Pol. Ciliverghe vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
PSM
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 2
CRE
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 1
GRU
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 2
PSM
9%
16%
75%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 3
REZ
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 2
CRE
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 0
PER
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 0
CRE
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 1
SCA
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 3
CRE
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |