Pol. Ciliverghe vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 1
PSM
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 2
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 0
PSM
34%
25%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PSM
3 - 2
MAP
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PON
1 - 2
PSM
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASS
14%
24%
63%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PER
3 - 2
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
CIS
28%
24%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
CAR
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
INV
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |