Pol. Ciliverghe vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 0
PSM
42%
22%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
PSM
1 - 2
FOL
39%
25%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PSM
2 - 3
COR
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAV
2 - 2
PSM
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 4
PSM
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
SAM
38%
24%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 2
ALF
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 6
BRE
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 2
COR
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAV
0 - 0
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |