Pol. Ciliverghe vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
PSM
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 2
ASD
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MOD
1 - 0
PSM
78%
16%
6%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 2
PAV
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
PSM
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADR
1 - 4
FAN
43%
23%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
4 - 1
ADR
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ADR
3 - 0
AXY
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
USD
0 - 0
ADR
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ADR
2 - 2
MEZ
43%
24%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |