Pol. Ciliverghe vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
PSM
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PSM
3 - 2
CLA
78%
13%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 0
PSM
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GSD
3 - 2
PSM
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 0
ADR
49%
21%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 3
FAN
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 2
PAV
23%
21%
56%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 2
AXY
82%
12%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 0
COM
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 2
PAV
23%
20%
56%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |