Polillas Sporting vs AD Ceuta FC C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polillas Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
CJU
10%
14%
76%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UCI
0 - 3
POL
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 5
POL
43%
22%
35%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
CDB
5%
9%
86%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
AD Ceuta FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UCI
0 - 0
ADC
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ADC
7 - 1
MIR
72%
16%
13%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
ADC
62%
18%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 2
CJU
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAL
5 - 2
ADC
17%
18%
65%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |