Poligono Toledo vs Noves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 2
PTO
39%
22%
40%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PTO
1 - 1
MOC
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PTO
0 - 0
ESC
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PTO
4 - 1
COB
39%
21%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VSJ
0 - 3
PTO
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
MEN
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
POL
2 - 3
NOV
14%
17%
69%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
CDL
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
VSA
55%
20%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SON
3 - 0
NOV
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |